£ muted after UK jobs report

£ muted after UK jobs report

Today, investors faced a challenging scenario with the release of the May labour report by the ONS, revealing a mix of elevated wage pressures and increasing unemployment. As the data unfolded, it became evident that despite the surge in wages, the Pound's response highlighted a clear prioritization: the significance of rising unemployment.

Following the ONS announcement that UK wages, including bonuses, soared by 5.7% in March compared to the anticipated 5.3%, GBP strengthened against the EUR, reaching 1.1642. Excluding bonuses, the wage increase surged even higher to 6.0%.

These numbers precede the expected rise in the minimum wage in April, indicating that wage pressures persistently outpace inflation. This trend might sustain elevated domestic inflation in the UK, potentially deferring any interest rate reductions.

However, despite the initial gains, the Pound experienced a reversal, resulting in losses, with GBP/EUR pair declining to 1.1614, down by 0.20% for the day.

Similarly, GBP/USD exchange rate initially climbed to 1.2558 before retracting to 1.2519. This retreat is attributed to indications of weakening labour market conditions evident in other data releases throughout the day: the UK economy shed 177,000 jobs in the three months leading to March, up from 156,000 in the preceding period. Concurrently, the unemployment rate edged up to 4.3% from 4.2%.

This implies that the potential for wages to rise to levels that generate inflation is constrained, and investors anticipate a significant cooling down as a consequence. In essence, if there's an ample pool of job seekers available, businesses won't feel compelled to retain excess labor.

Currently, foreign exchange markets are opting to overlook the high wage numbers, as evidenced by the Pound's relatively muted reaction.

Please note:  The news and information contained on this site should not be interpreted as advice or as a solicitation to offer to convert any currency or as a recommendation to trade.

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